Wednesday 19 October 2011

Betfair Discipline 2

Had another look at the stats. This time any game where I have done the under bet in the last 3 months. Here are the stats:


· 262 winners from 265. 99% strike rate. A bit unfair really as I only had one loser but the bet went on at 3 different prices (Blackpool V Bristol a few weeks back).

· Average odds matched were 1.02.

· Profit over the 3 months was £278.

This is Worldwide football btw. Everything from Scot Prem to Brazil. Two methods:

1. Wait until after 78 mins and then back the under if odds still available. Officially the stats say wait to the 81st but I find all markets are closed by that point.

2. Wait for a goal after the 81st minute. Back the under when the market clears up. E.g. game is 1-1 until a goal is scored in the 83rd minute. Back under 4.5g.

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