Take any League game in England or the SPL. Wait until the clock hits 81mins. Bet that the final score will be UNDER current number of goals + 2.5.
For example, if is is 1-1 then bet under 4.5g; if it is 4-1 bet under 7.5g. On most EPL games the market is liquid enough to have 1.01 or 1.02 on offer at that stage (my normal bet is £100 or £200).
Where real money can be made is when goals are scored after the 81st minute. Imagine a game is 1-1 at the 81min mark. You are too late to get a bt on however a goal is sunk at the 85th minute. The under 4.5g market will come back alive at c. 1.05 to 1.08. At this point I would once again go in with a £100 or £200 bet. Don't worry if a match seems like a goal fest and is 6-5 at the 81st minute and don't worry if a team is down to 9 men. The above rule works whatever the circumstances.
The average odds you'll get on the system are c. 1.03 meaning you roughly need to win 34 out of 35 bets to be in profit. In reality I've found that I can go months and months without a loser. Indeed the only times I ever fail is when I go off-piste and try to be fancy by betting cup games (where there is more to play for right up to the final whistle), betting Spanish games (where Barca run a team ragged for 80 mins and then go all out for the last section of the match) or by betting at the 79th minute or earlier.
If you have discipline you could really make a go of this statistical anomaly. Using Kelly Stakes or half Kelly Stakes would greatly improve the profitability. The next step with the system would be to see at what minute you would be safe to bet that the final score would be UNDER current number of goals + 3.5.
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